The six-month-old US war against Iran has cost $38 billion so far and is projected to rise by $3 billion each month, Congress’ nonpartisan budget office reported Tuesday, as the Trump administration searches for a way to end the conflict and reopen the vital Strait of Hormuz.
The Congressional Budget Office accounting, which totalled expenses through August 1, also projected the war would push inflation up by 0.5% in the first three months of 2027. The figure is close to the $37.5 billion that Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth reported at a Senate hearing on July 21.
Munitions Depletion Raises Readiness Fears
The mounting costs have strained US munitions stockpiles and driven up energy prices, raising concerns about the country’s ability to respond to other potential conflicts and adding pressure on an already stretched federal budget.
The budget office said the majority of the costs stem from the rapid drawdown of munitions, estimating that it could take five years to replenish US stockpiles. Reuters reported in August that the US had used “virtually all” of its long-range precision missiles during the war.
The CBO said the deficit in critical munitions, including missile interceptors, risks hampering the Pentagon’s response in the event of another major conflict, such as potential hostilities involving China and Taiwan.
At the July hearing, Hegseth pleaded for nearly $90 billion in emergency funding legislation to restock munitions supplies. “Without these funds, we face critical shortfalls,” he said.
Energy Shocks and Fiscal Strain
Energy shocks caused by attacks in the Strait of Hormuz — the narrow waterway through which roughly 20% of the world’s oil travelled before the war — and on energy facilities in neighbouring Gulf countries have sharply increased prices for consumers and global producers.
The rising cost of the war also threatens to weigh on deteriorating US fiscal health. The nation’s total public debt surpassed $40 trillion in August.
The report did not include costs of recent strikes on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz and attacks on US military installations in the region. It also did not factor in the borrowing expenses associated with financing the war, which could add tens of billions of dollars to the total cost.
Political Fallout
The inquiry was conducted at the request of the top Democrat on the US House of Representatives Budget Committee, Brendan Boyle of Pennsylvania.
“Donald Trump’s disastrous war in Iran has already taken the lives of brave American servicemembers and left others wounded,” Boyle said in a statement. “Beyond that human toll, this nonpartisan CBO report makes clear that the war has also cost American taxpayers tens of billions of dollars and counting, while continuing to drive up costs.”
Eighteen US military service members have died in the Iran war.
The Department of Defence did not cooperate with congressional financial auditors, the CBO reported. Representatives from the White House and Department of Defence did not immediately respond to requests for comment.
Comparisons With Past Conflicts
Trump regularly contrasts the Iran war with the US invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan that followed the September 11, 2001, attacks.
The eight-year US war in Iraq, which involved more than 100,000 ground troops at its peak, cost $2 trillion, according to Reuters. The two-decade-long US conflict in Afghanistan, which also involved more than 100,000 troops at its most intense, cost $2.3 trillion, according to Brown University’s Costs of War project.
